Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 37 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| K. Coble | 36 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| C. Moore | 35 | 4-13 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Nash | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ryan | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Rowley | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Shurna | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Curletti | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 33 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Z. Novak | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Grady | 26 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Sims | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Douglass | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Merritt | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Wright | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter