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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% -
Margin 8.8% 91.2% +12.8 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 19.8% 80.2% -
Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Log Adjusted 8.6% 91.4% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sanders 34 5-10 0-1 4-6 2 0 0 0 1 14 5 -
A. Barnett 32 11-16 2-4 6-6 4 1 2 0 1 30 20 -
R. Pride 31 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 4 8 -
D. Rufful 28 2-9 0-2 1-2 2 1 2 0 2 5 -1 -
D. Biber 26 3-10 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 7 2 -
J. Trotter 24 3-9 0-2 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
C. Weeden 20 2-3 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 2 0 6 13 -
K. Graeber 16 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 3 7 -
K. Crecco 10 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Fitzgerald 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Boehm 42 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 4 -
J. Lin 39 7-14 1-2 6-11 7 4 2 1 3 21 18 -
A. Pusar 37 3-9 1-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
O. McNally 31 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 5 1 -
K. Wright 27 1-4 0-0 6-7 13 0 0 0 3 8 14 -
D. Miller 17 5-6 0-0 3-3 4 0 1 0 2 13 10 -
D. Housman 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
M. Kenyi 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
D. McGeary 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter