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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown 32 7-11 3-4 5-5 9 2 1 0 3 22 20 -
C.J. Anderson 30 2-6 0-0 3-5 9 2 1 0 2 7 11 -
B.J. Raymond 29 5-7 2-4 9-10 3 1 2 0 1 21 19 -
T. Holloway 28 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 2 2 0 0 6 5 -
J. Love 24 4-5 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 3 10 10 -
D. Jackson 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 2 -4 -
K. Frease 16 6-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
B. Redford 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
J. McLean 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thornton 39 10-18 3-7 7-10 3 4 2 1 3 30 19 -
T. Mitchell 34 5-17 0-1 2-2 8 2 2 0 3 12 4 -
G. Temple 32 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 5 0 3 2 7 -
B. Spencer 31 3-10 2-6 2-4 1 3 1 0 2 10 3 -
C. Johnson 26 4-5 0-0 0-1 7 1 2 2 0 8 15 -
T. Martin 18 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Q. Thornton 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 3 6 -
S. Warren 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter