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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 81.6% 18.4% -
Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% -
Log Adjusted 92.3% 7.7% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs -6 (61-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Johnson 33 8-15 5-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 21 3 -
B. Stewart 32 1-9 1-6 3-4 3 0 3 0 2 6 1 -
J. Varnado 30 6-7 0-0 2-3 8 2 4 4 3 14 22 -
D. Bost 30 2-8 1-4 0-1 4 3 1 0 0 5 5 -
P. Turner 28 3-7 2-5 5-6 4 1 2 0 1 13 12 -
B. Johnson 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
E. Bailey 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
T. Beckham 10 1-2 0-0 2-3 2 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
R. Benock 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Osby 6 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ware 37 5-11 2-5 2-2 5 2 2 0 3 14 9 -
C. Butler 32 2-7 0-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 4 4 1 -
T. Woodbury 25 4-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 8 3 -
R. McPhee 24 5-8 5-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 15 13 -
T. Thompkins 22 1-8 1-6 4-4 6 0 2 0 2 7 5 -
J. Price 21 4-7 1-1 1-2 4 2 1 1 5 10 6 -
C. Barnes 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
Z. Swansey 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
A. Jackson 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
T. Leslie 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter