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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 45.4% 54.6% +1.0 (2.0 off)

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morgan 37 5-9 0-0 9-13 5 0 0 0 6 19 9 -
M. Stucki 37 4-8 1-4 0-1 1 2 1 2 1 9 6 -
D. Carson 37 5-13 0-2 4-6 4 2 1 0 1 14 7 -
D. Monroe 29 6-8 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 0 12 15 -
D. Busma 28 3-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 0 7 12 -
C. Tatum 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
L. Steijn 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Kilpatrick 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
F. Caspari 5 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
P. Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eller 36 4-13 0-1 4-6 12 0 1 1 0 12 13 -
L. Leath 27 8-14 4-7 2-2 2 3 3 0 1 22 15 -
A. Flaggs 27 2-6 0-2 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Stigall 26 2-5 1-3 2-4 1 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
R. Adams 23 6-8 0-0 3-7 3 2 0 0 2 15 10 -
D. Thomas 19 0-1 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
M. Selling 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Marcial 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 2 7 -
J. Malloy 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Ward 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Blockmon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter