Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✗ (27.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -22 (51-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 37 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| K. Barber | 34 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| T. Waller | 33 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Barrett | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Lett | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Knox | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Welsh | 36 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| C. Fortson | 34 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Washington | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Clarke | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Britt | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Clark | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Henry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Cox | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Noland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter