Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Monroe | 0 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Ward | 0 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| A. Harvin | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Davis-Cain | 0 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| M. Freshour | 0 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hartig | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Littles | 0 | 5-16 | 3-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 6-19 | 0-3 | 12-12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| B. Millner | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
* = starter