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2009-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +2 (57-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mullery 40 9-15 0-0 4-6 9 0 0 6 2 22 20 -
P. Sullivan 40 0-9 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 0 -7 -
S. Friske 39 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 7 1 0 4 6 12 -
C. Skrelja 38 2-5 1-1 2-6 4 2 3 0 1 7 10 -
A. Williams 30 4-5 3-4 5-5 0 0 0 0 2 16 9 -
S. Gruber 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
C. Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Kane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morin 34 8-12 1-1 3-4 10 1 0 0 1 20 18 -
A. Zampier 34 4-8 1-1 3-4 0 2 1 0 2 12 5 -
T. Pinick 33 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 6 12 -
C. Andrews 26 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 3 -1 -
M. Sands 15 1-7 0-0 4-5 7 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
G. Fiddler 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
P. Braswell 14 0-4 0-3 0-2 0 2 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Gibson 12 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
P. Nelson 8 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
G. Mangano 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
R. Mantilla 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter