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2009-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 98.2% 1.8% -
Bradley-Terry 91.3% 8.7% -
Margin 95.9% 4.1% -17.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 90.6% 9.4% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Log Adjusted 96.9% 3.1% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -14 (69-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 35 4-7 3-5 3-4 3 10 1 0 2 14 19 -
A. Daye 31 5-13 1-3 5-7 10 4 0 5 2 16 20 -
J. Heytvelt 30 9-15 1-1 6-6 9 3 1 1 1 25 23 -
S. Gray 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 6 2 -
M. Downs 22 4-8 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
J. Pargo 20 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 0 0 -
D. Goodson 18 2-6 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
I. Brown 8 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
W. Foster 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Sorenson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson 31 5-15 2-3 2-4 5 1 3 1 2 14 7 -
C. Moore 29 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Bell 28 8-19 1-8 2-4 12 6 2 0 4 19 16 -
M. Hornbuckle 27 4-9 4-6 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 12 11 -
T. Darby 22 2-6 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 1 5 10 -
D. Suttle Jr. 17 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
J. Dupre' 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
L. Jackson 11 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
A. Shannon 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Holmes 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Tucker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Clardy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter