Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -18 (54-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Goffney | 30 | 10-20 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| K. Hartwell | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| K. Sheard | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Doaks | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | - |
| T. Patterson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| S. McDowell | 24 | 1-9 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Early | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Saffore | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Ferrell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jackson | 33 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Toney | 31 | 3-15 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Oliver | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Stywall | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Eargle | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Clement | 23 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | - |
| P. Brown | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Smith | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Spooner | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Hardiman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter