Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Boone | 37 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| S. Morgan | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| I. Koggu | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Handy | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Lance | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. McKinney | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Thomas | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Bryant | 10 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Y. Chia-Kur | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Yates | 39 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| K. Kanaskie | 38 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Johnson | 36 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Haddock | 29 | 8-19 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hair | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter