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2009-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Loyola Marymount Lions Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 91.4% 8.6% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Log Adjusted 95.3% 4.7% -

Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -16 (59-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 30 6-17 0-3 3-4 15 6 1 0 2 15 18 -
R. Smeulders 28 6-13 0-0 0-2 8 1 1 1 1 12 9 -
E. Niedermeyer 26 5-7 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 13 10 -
J. Stohl 24 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 5 -
T.J. Campbell 24 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 11 9 -
K. Knutson 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
L. Sikma 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
E. Waterford 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Hannibal 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
B.J. Porter 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
T. Ito 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Mitrovic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Counts 37 4-8 4-8 2-2 5 0 3 0 0 14 14 -
J. DuBois 36 4-11 1-5 2-2 4 2 1 0 6 11 1 -
L. Armstead 34 1-5 0-0 3-4 5 3 0 0 1 5 7 -
K. Young 34 7-12 1-2 0-2 8 0 2 2 2 15 13 -
B. Sweezy 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 3 2 3 -
V. Teel 20 4-8 0-1 4-9 0 2 1 0 3 12 4 -
M. Deric 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter