Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✗ (23.4 off) |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -16 (60-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 33 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Keeler | 32 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| T. Shelton | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| S. Lewis | 28 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Anderson | 19 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hanson | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Manley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| B. Henning | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Darling | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Troyer | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Kirby | 26 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| S. Willard | 21 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Brown | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Doran | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Neufville | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Ford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Hawkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Shipley | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter