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2009-01-22

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% -
Log Adjusted 15.8% 84.2% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 40 9-17 2-6 4-8 4 4 0 0 5 24 10 -
T. Gibson 38 5-10 0-0 5-5 13 1 2 3 3 15 21 -
D. DeRozan 31 7-11 0-2 2-2 7 0 0 0 6 16 6 -
L. Washington 28 1-8 0-0 0-0 2 3 4 0 1 2 2 -
K. Wilkinson 25 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 5 2 -
M. Johnson 23 4-8 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 8 3 -
N. Vucevic 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 0 5 -
D. Smith 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
M. Simmons 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 33 0-8 0-0 4-6 13 1 1 0 1 4 10 -
J. Dentmon 33 4-7 3-4 11-11 4 0 1 0 6 22 14 -
Q. Pondexter 32 4-10 0-1 3-3 3 5 2 0 3 11 8 -
I. Thomas 27 4-10 1-3 8-14 4 0 0 0 3 17 8 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 24 3-7 0-0 6-6 4 0 1 0 1 12 9 -
V. Overton 17 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 6 1 -
D. Gant 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Holiday 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
E. Turner Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter