Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -10 (55-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pena | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Figures | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Banks | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 24 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| N. Kingman | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Proctor | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Kaba | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Palacios | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Navarre | 33 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| W. Bynum | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Howard | 31 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| E. Rush | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Johnson | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| C. Anderson | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Henderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter