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2009-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 24.7% 75.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 19.8% 80.2% -
Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Log Adjusted 7.7% 92.3% -

Actual: Stanford Cardinal +22 (77-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 29 5-11 4-9 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 14 1 -
G. Sim 27 1-6 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 -2 -
J. Catron 21 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 5 2 1 -
K. Brown 21 3-7 0-1 5-5 1 2 3 0 3 11 7 -
M. Humphrey 20 3-4 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 2 0 10 9 -
C. Odia 19 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
L. Longmire 18 0-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 1 2 -
M. Dunigan 14 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 2 2 5 7 -
D. Wiley 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Crittle 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
N. Fearn 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Elorriaga 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Fields 32 5-12 0-2 3-6 8 2 2 1 0 13 14 -
A. Goods 30 5-10 2-6 8-9 2 1 0 0 4 20 9 -
L. Hill 29 4-7 0-1 1-3 4 6 1 0 1 9 12 -
D. Shiller 24 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 5 2 -
K. Brown 19 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 3 9 8 -
W. Paul 16 1-3 1-2 0-2 3 0 1 1 0 3 5 -
J. Owens 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Green 13 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
D. Dildy 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Mann 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
E. Bullock 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Trotter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter