Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 38 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 34 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Phillips | 30 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 28 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| B. Sampay | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Holloway | 23 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Thornton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Odzic | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Shipley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Hawkins | 36 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Murry | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| R. Clemente | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Hannah | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J.T. Durley | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Ellis | 20 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Kyles | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Stutz | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Hatch | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Chamberlain | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter