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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 69.5% 30.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% -
Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% -
Log Adjusted 25.4% 74.6% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dunson 37 6-12 5-9 3-3 2 0 0 0 3 20 7 -
T. Wilson 36 0-3 0-1 0-0 8 2 1 1 3 0 6 -
S. Maniscalco 28 5-11 3-8 3-4 1 3 0 0 2 16 7 -
E. McCain 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Singh 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
C. Roberts 21 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
D. Norris 14 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Collins 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
T. Brown 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Koch 32 4-7 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 11 5 -
J. Moran 32 3-9 3-7 2-2 4 4 0 0 1 11 9 -
K. Ahelegbe 31 2-6 0-0 9-12 4 2 0 0 6 13 7 -
A. Farokhmanesh 28 6-10 4-8 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 17 9 -
L. O'Rear 25 2-3 0-0 2-4 11 3 1 0 0 6 18 -
T. Brown 23 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
K. Dunham 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Eglseder 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Haak 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Rodenberg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter