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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 27.7% 72.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 36 9-20 7-14 5-9 5 3 2 0 2 30 18 -
C. Singleton 26 3-8 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 2 3 6 1 -
U. Echefu 25 2-9 0-3 0-0 8 2 2 0 0 4 7 -
L. Loucks 25 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. DeMercy 22 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 3 -1 -
S. Alabi 21 3-5 0-0 4-6 9 0 1 1 3 10 13 -
D. Kitchen 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Dulkys 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 6 3 -
X. Gibson 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
R. Reid 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 2 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClinton 36 7-13 4-6 10-11 5 6 0 0 0 28 26 -
L. Hurdle 31 6-9 2-4 2-3 2 3 0 0 1 16 11 -
J. Dews 28 3-7 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
D. Collins 28 4-6 0-0 2-8 11 3 1 1 2 10 18 -
A. Thomas 21 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 3 5 2 1 10 15 -
J. Graham 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
B. Asbury 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
C. McGowan 11 1-3 0-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
D. Jones 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -

* = starter