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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Golden Eagles UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stephens 38 2-8 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 2 1 7 4 -
R.L. Horton 36 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 2 1 -
C. Beasley 35 8-15 1-1 2-3 6 0 0 0 0 19 10 -
C. Craft 35 8-18 3-9 1-1 5 2 2 1 1 20 11 -
J. Wise 34 4-9 1-3 4-4 3 7 0 0 2 13 12 -
R. McCauley 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Lino 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jj Taylor 36 13-23 3-10 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 31 15 -
T. Davis 31 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 6 10 -
T. Young 30 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 9 1 0 0 6 15 -
A.J. Tyler 25 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 2 3 4 6 -
K. Zondervan 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 10 12 -
A.J. Rompza 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 5 9 -
C. Baez 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
I. Sosa 11 2-5 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
W. Weathers 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P.J. Gaynor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Yotio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Kusmieruk 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Pugh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter