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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks UT Arlington Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 (14.3 off)
Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -

Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Bell 40 5-6 1-1 2-2 1 4 3 0 1 13 14 -
N. Shaw 38 4-8 2-4 0-0 8 1 0 1 2 10 10 -
J. Alexander 32 3-9 2-5 2-3 8 0 3 0 3 10 9 -
E. Williams 22 1-8 0-2 2-2 0 3 1 0 1 4 -1 -
M. Kingsley 20 3-11 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 1 6 -1 -
B. Akpan 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 1 7 4 -
W. Harris 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Williams 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
G. Adams 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Scott 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Long 32 7-13 3-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 17 8 -
M. Haynes 30 4-9 1-3 2-2 2 7 0 0 2 11 9 -
A. Vereen 28 6-11 0-0 3-7 7 5 0 0 1 15 15 -
R. Guignard 27 4-10 4-9 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 12 6 -
J. Smith 26 2-4 1-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 3 5 0 -
T. Moffitt 24 0-1 0-0 1-2 10 0 1 0 0 1 11 -
T. Parker 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 5 0 2 9 -
J.D. Davis 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
L. Reed III 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Gentry II 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. DeWalt 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Kinnear 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Awange 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter