Model Predictions
| Model | Clemson Tigers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (94-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Clemson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Booker | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Oglesby | 27 | 6-19 | 4-13 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 7 | - |
| K.C. Rivers | 25 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Grant | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Stitt | 20 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| R. Sykes | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Young | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Potter | 16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Narcisse | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Baciu | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Yanutola | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 32 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 20 | - |
| T. Lawson | 30 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| D. Thompson | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| D. Green | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| E. Davis | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Frasor | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Drew II | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| W. Graves | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter