Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 39 | 3-11 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Coble | 38 | 10-16 | 3-8 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 22 | - |
| M. Thompson | 38 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| J. Nash | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Rowley | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Curletti | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Ryan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Shurna | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 37 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Walton | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| C. Allen | 26 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -5 | - |
| D. Summers | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Morgan | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| D. Roe | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Lucious | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Gray | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Green | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter