Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +24 (81-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Johnson | 36 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Bost | 30 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| P. Turner | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Stewart | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Varnado | 25 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| R. Benock | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Osby | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Beckham | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Johnson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Bailey | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Spencer | 32 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Thornton | 32 | 10-18 | 5-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 20 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| G. Temple | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| C. Johnson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Martin | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Bass | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Farrer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Warren | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Graham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter