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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 53.4% 46.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 35 8-21 5-11 1-2 2 2 3 0 3 22 5 -
T. Waller 34 2-10 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 -1 -
R. Barrett 28 8-15 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 17 6 -
Q. Robertson 27 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
K. Barber 25 2-5 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
L. Hargrove 19 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
F. Sullivan 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
J. Lett 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Knox 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stevenson 40 5-5 0-0 3-4 12 1 2 4 5 13 22 -
P. Patterson 39 7-13 0-1 7-9 18 3 2 2 4 21 29 -
J. Meeks 38 7-13 5-8 12-13 1 0 0 0 5 31 14 -
R. Harris 35 1-4 0-2 3-4 5 2 0 1 4 5 5 -
M. Porter 27 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 4 0 2 -
D. Liggins 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Miller 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Galloway 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Harrellson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A.J. Stewart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter