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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 46.3% 53.7% -
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% -
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% -
Log Adjusted 56.9% 43.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 35 8-21 5-11 1-2 2 2 3 0 3 22 5 -
T. Waller 34 2-10 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 -1 -
R. Barrett 28 8-15 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 17 6 -
Q. Robertson 27 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
K. Barber 25 2-5 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
L. Hargrove 19 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
F. Sullivan 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
J. Lett 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Knox 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stevenson 40 5-5 0-0 3-4 12 1 2 4 5 13 22 -
P. Patterson 39 7-13 0-1 7-9 18 3 2 2 4 21 29 -
J. Meeks 38 7-13 5-8 12-13 1 0 0 0 5 31 14 -
R. Harris 35 1-4 0-2 3-4 5 2 0 1 4 5 5 -
M. Porter 27 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 4 0 2 -
D. Liggins 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Miller 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Galloway 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Harrellson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A.J. Stewart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter