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2009-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames High Point Panthers Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.1% 19.9% - โœ“
Margin 73.9% 26.1% -5.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 67.8% 32.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.4% 14.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.1% 37.9% - โœ“

Actual: High Point Panthers -5 (56-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Smith 38 7-11 5-8 5-8 3 1 4 0 2 24 19 -
S. Curry 36 4-17 1-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 9 -4 -
K. Ohman 33 7-12 5-10 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 19 13 -
J. Sanders 30 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 5 0 0 3 3 4 -
B. Floyd 24 1-2 0-0 0-4 4 2 1 0 2 2 5 -
J. Stephene 16 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 3 2 0 1 2 6 -
T. Baker 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
B. Weaver 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Spencer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

High Point Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Harris 35 5-15 1-8 0-1 4 3 2 0 1 11 4 -
D. Singleton 33 1-3 0-0 0-0 11 8 2 0 8 2 12 -
S. Short 30 7-12 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 14 9 -
C. Daniels 29 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 5 1 6 15 -
J. Morris 27 7-11 0-1 1-2 5 1 2 0 0 15 12 -
N. Barbour 26 3-9 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 8 2 -
E. Bridges 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
D. Campbell 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Appiah 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter