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2009-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% -
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 (20.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +18 (67-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Turner 40 2-7 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 2 4 9 -
W. Buford 35 5-14 1-5 2-2 4 2 2 0 2 13 5 -
J. Diebler 33 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 6 3 -
J. Simmons 29 2-8 1-5 2-2 0 4 1 0 3 7 1 -
B. Mullens 28 6-8 0-0 2-9 7 1 0 2 4 14 12 -
D. Lauderdale 16 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 5 7 -
P.J. Hill 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
W. Offutt 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Madsen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 36 5-11 3-8 0-0 3 7 2 0 2 13 12 -
C. Frazier 36 3-4 2-2 2-3 4 2 1 0 3 10 10 -
M. Davis 27 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 8 11 -
T. Meacham 20 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 0 3 -
D. Keller 20 6-10 0-0 0-3 6 0 0 0 2 12 6 -
M. Tisdale 19 5-7 0-0 5-5 1 0 0 0 1 15 8 -
A. Legion 16 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
C. Brock 15 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 5 0 1 6 6 -
J. Jordan 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Cole 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Chisholm 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Semrau 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter