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2009-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Savannah State Tigers Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +16.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Savannah State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 33 2-10 0-1 0-4 4 1 3 0 3 4 -1 -
R. Bailey 33 2-9 0-2 4-4 2 1 1 0 4 8 -1 -
C. Linton 29 4-7 1-2 1-3 7 1 2 0 1 10 12 -
J. Shuler 28 1-3 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 0 6 3 2 -
R. Hassan 23 9-11 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 2 3 19 12 -
P. Hardy 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 1 0 3 8 -
A. Louis 13 3-3 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
R. Mitchell 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 1 1 4 -
L. Fort 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Izevbigie 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 38 6-12 1-2 4-5 4 6 4 0 3 17 16 -
T. Cohn 30 4-6 2-4 1-2 5 2 1 0 3 11 10 -
M. Allen 26 3-8 0-0 1-2 9 2 2 2 1 7 13 -
L. Colbert 26 4-8 2-3 5-6 6 1 0 0 2 15 12 -
A. Hardy 25 2-4 1-1 4-4 3 2 1 0 2 9 9 -
A. Brooks 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 -
E. Jefferson 9 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
S. Lukasiak 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 1 1 -
B. Gilbert 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Edwards 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Galvin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Alston 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter