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2009-01-19

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 90.3% 9.7% -
Bradley-Terry 89.9% 10.1% -
Margin 97.4% 2.6% -19.9 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -30 (58-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 0 8-21 3-9 0-1 12 2 4 0 3 19 13 -
L. Dixon 0 5-5 0-0 4-8 8 6 0 0 2 14 21 -
K. Greene 0 6-8 0-1 3-4 3 3 1 1 0 15 15 -
R. Montgomery 0 8-17 3-8 2-4 6 5 1 0 2 21 14 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Breland 0 5-11 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 5 1 10 10 -
M. Wood 0 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Mccants 0 5-15 0-3 3-4 6 3 1 1 4 13 5 -
I. Lucas 0 7-15 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 15 1 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 3-8 1-3 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 8 3 -

* = starter