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2009-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 62.0% 38.0% -4.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 โœ“ (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -14 (43-57). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Murray 29 7-11 0-2 1-3 4 2 4 0 3 15 11 -
Kyle Coston 27 0-6 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Jeremiah Dominguez 27 1-8 1-5 2-2 4 2 1 0 4 5 0 -
Phil Nelson 25 2-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 1 2 6 2 -
Julius Thomas 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 2 1 6 12 -
Jamie Jones 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Wendell Wright 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
Dominic Waters 13 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Tyrell Mara 12 3-3 3-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 8 -
Mickey Polis 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Figures 34 2-8 0-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 4 6 2 -
Jabril Banks 27 1-3 0-0 6-6 8 0 1 0 4 8 10 -
Devon Beitzel 26 2-8 1-6 0-1 4 1 2 0 1 5 3 -
Neal Kingman 26 5-10 3-5 1-2 2 0 1 1 1 14 7 -
John Pena 25 1-6 0-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Taylor Montgomery 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
Mike Proctor 18 2-6 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
Yahosh Bonner 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 -
Robert Palacios 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Chris Kaba 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter