Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cooks | 36 | 6-19 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 7 | - |
| S. Laurie | 34 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 33 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Weems | 29 | 6-14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| W. Creekmore | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. Knapp | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Jehle | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| I. Rhine | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. McFarland | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 36 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Holloway | 32 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| L. Phillips | 31 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 27 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Sampay | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| S. Odzic | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Rubin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter