Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +18 (61-43). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lacey Simpson | 0 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Chelsea Gordon | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jenna Smith | 0 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Whitney Toone | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lydia McCully | 0 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariah Dunham | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Lin Zastrow | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Alyssa Karel | 0 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Teah Gant | 0 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. D'Alie | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter