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2009-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% -
Margin 73.7% 26.3% -5.7 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 79.4% 20.6% -
Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Log Adjusted 92.6% 7.4% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs -23 (45-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Meeks 34 8-16 3-8 3-4 4 1 1 0 6 22 6 -
P. Patterson 32 7-15 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 4 4 15 7 -
R. Harris 28 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 0 1 -
P. Stevenson 25 4-6 1-1 4-4 6 1 0 2 0 13 16 -
D. Liggins 23 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 4 1 1 2 2 9 -
M. Porter 17 1-2 0-1 5-5 6 1 3 0 0 7 15 -
D. Miller 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 4 -
K. Galloway 10 0-1 0-0 1-3 0 4 1 0 0 1 5 -
A.J. Stewart 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
J. Harrellson 7 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
J. Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Butler 30 2-5 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 5 0 -
T. Woodbury 29 4-14 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 8 -3 -
Z. Swansey 28 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 4 4 -
T. Thompkins 22 3-9 1-2 0-3 3 0 1 0 3 7 -1 -
A. Jackson 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 -
D. Ware 21 2-8 2-5 1-2 2 4 3 0 1 7 7 -
J. Price 14 1-8 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 4 3 -5 -
C. Barnes 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
T. Leslie 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Brewer 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Zlovaric 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter