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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Youngstown State Penguins Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 (9.9 off)
Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Youngstown State Penguins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mays 37 7-21 1-6 7-10 6 0 0 0 2 22 5 -
S. Martin 27 3-8 2-3 3-4 6 0 1 0 1 11 9 -
K. Bright 26 3-13 0-2 3-4 3 1 1 1 4 9 -2 -
T. Parks 22 4-7 2-4 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
D. Boudler 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Ward 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Niemi 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
V. Sulskis 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Blocker 11 2-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
J. Liles 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
V. Cooksey 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Z. Rebillot 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schachtner 28 2-7 1-2 6-6 8 2 0 0 1 11 13 -
T. Cotton 25 4-7 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 11 5 -
T. Evans 22 5-9 0-2 0-2 2 0 2 0 2 10 3 -
B. Perine 22 2-4 0-0 4-4 4 2 1 0 3 8 8 -
R. Fletcher 21 4-6 0-0 1-1 6 6 3 0 2 9 16 -
R. Berry 21 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 2 10 10 -
B. Eaton 20 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
R. Tillema 19 2-5 1-2 6-6 3 5 1 1 1 11 15 -
P. Nelson 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 4 5 -
T. Walls 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Anderson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter