Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✗ (38.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +36 (87-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sims | 40 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| K. Brand | 39 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Hunter | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| I. Butts | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Webb | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Hughes | 17 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Booth | 13 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Williamson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Bermudez | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A.J. Highsmith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Q. Dowdell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Montgomery | 34 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| J. Davis | 31 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| C. West | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Friday | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. King | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Bedwell | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Friday | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Griffin | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| G. Bermudez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter