Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✗ (38.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +36 (87-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.