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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 85.2% 14.8% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Log Adjusted 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +1 (53-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Foster 40 6-19 3-13 5-7 2 1 1 0 6 20 -1 -
J. Rahon 40 4-11 2-6 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 12 3 -
J. Bryant 35 6-11 0-0 3-8 22 2 1 2 1 15 30 -
B. Dowdell 32 1-4 0-0 1-1 9 1 0 1 3 3 7 -
M. Santos 24 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Trasolini 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 0 3 -
C. Johnson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Thompson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 36 6-13 4-6 0-0 9 0 1 0 1 16 12 -
T.J. Campbell 35 3-6 1-2 8-10 2 7 1 0 1 15 18 -
J. Stohl 35 3-7 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
R. Smeulders 27 0-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
L. Sikma 27 4-8 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 1 0 10 8 -
K. Knutson 17 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 -1 -
B.J. Porter 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
J. Hannibal 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Ito 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter