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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Washington State Cougars Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 60.7% 39.3% -3.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“
Margin 77.3% 22.7% -6.7 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks -12 (62-74). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taylor Rochestie * 39 5-13 4-7 16-16 2 7 0 0 1 30 25 -
Klay Thompson * 38 5-13 1-5 4-4 2 1 3 0 4 15 4 -
Aron Baynes * 34 6-10 1-1 6-6 12 0 1 3 3 19 22 -
Marcus Capers * 31 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
C. Forrest * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
DeAngelo Casto 26 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 2 1 6 11 -
D. Harmeling 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Koprivica 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Abe Lodwick 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrett Sim * 29 2-7 2-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 8 5 -
J. Catron * 28 5-11 0-1 2-6 9 1 1 1 0 12 13 -
L. Longmire * 26 5-9 0-1 5-6 2 1 1 0 2 15 8 -
K. Brown * 23 1-2 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 2 3 4 -
Michael Dunigan * 21 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 2 1 1 3 4 3 -
T. Porter 29 4-12 4-7 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 15 7 -
Josh Crittle 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Matt Humphrey 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Drew Wiley 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
C. Odia 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter