Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.