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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Hartford Hawks UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 (7.1 off)
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hartford Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. von Rosenberg 40 1-12 0-8 3-4 11 6 0 0 1 5 9 -
M. Sabia 37 7-15 2-9 2-3 6 0 1 1 3 18 8 -
M. Turner 37 4-14 2-8 2-2 11 3 2 0 2 12 12 -
A. Torres 36 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
K. Estes 24 3-5 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
G. Maciel 19 2-5 1-1 4-5 3 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
C. Brothers 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Minor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bookman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Proctor 39 6-17 1-1 1-5 14 4 0 0 1 14 14 -
M. Spadafora 38 5-11 0-3 5-6 7 5 0 0 0 15 16 -
J. Greene 37 6-10 5-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 17 13 -
C. Gilliam 34 3-9 1-3 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
J. Fry 30 1-4 0-1 1-4 6 2 0 1 4 3 4 -
R. Flemming 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 2 0 1 10 8 -

* = starter