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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 0.6% 99.4% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +70.0 (36.0 off)
Pythagorean 10.7% 89.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +34 (85-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Smith 32 2-7 2-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
B. Wallace 30 3-9 3-6 3-4 2 0 1 1 1 12 6 -
M. Quezada 28 2-9 0-3 5-7 5 5 1 0 3 9 8 -
D. Lowhorn 26 6-13 1-1 2-4 5 0 0 1 0 15 8 -
A. Caloiaro 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -2 -
K. Vaughn 19 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 -2 -
D. Bryant 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Hernandez 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Morgan 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
H. Taylor 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
C. O'Brien 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 34 5-10 1-5 1-1 3 3 1 0 0 12 9 -
A. Daye 32 10-14 3-5 2-4 9 2 0 3 1 25 24 -
M. Downs 24 4-9 3-5 4-4 2 0 0 1 1 15 8 -
J. Heytvelt 23 3-6 0-2 0-4 9 0 0 2 3 6 8 -
J. Pargo 22 2-6 1-3 1-2 2 3 2 0 1 6 6 -
S. Gray 21 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 2 0 4 4 -
D. Goodson 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 3 5 -
I. Brown 16 2-2 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 0 1 7 14 -
W. Foster 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
A. Sorenson 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Pontarolo-Maag 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter