Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | +7.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +4.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +22 (68-46). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrel Smith * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Junior Hairston * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Troy Franklin * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Josh Thornton * | 30 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Robert Nwankwo * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - |
| Brian Morris | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Rocky Coleman | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tony Durant | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Kannegieter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Dukes * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Rashad Chase * | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Trae Goldston * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Leonard Mendez * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Hansbro * | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dante Curry | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ousman Krubally | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Trey Hampton | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Lott | 16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| James Fields | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter