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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (12.7 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Curtis 33 5-12 2-5 4-5 4 2 1 0 1 16 10 -
K. Swanston 32 2-13 1-8 3-4 3 1 1 1 1 8 0 -
A. Semenov 31 2-5 0-2 2-4 6 5 1 0 2 6 11 -
H. Ratner 28 0-5 0-3 0-1 3 1 3 0 0 0 2 -
J. James 25 5-7 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 1 1 13 12 -
B. Louis 19 0-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
J. Wells 17 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 9 1 -
D. Thornton 14 1-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
S. Renkin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Vaughan 36 3-11 2-7 1-2 5 1 1 0 5 9 0 -
C. Long 33 5-8 1-1 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 13 11 -
D. Smith 30 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
D. Monroe 29 1-6 0-0 5-7 11 4 1 1 3 7 15 -
R. Pearson 23 3-4 0-0 7-9 6 2 0 0 0 13 17 -
L. Birdsong 21 7-9 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 15 10 -
A. Cornelius 18 2-4 0-1 1-3 4 5 1 0 0 5 11 -
M. Morrison 7 0-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 2 3 3 -
I. Tate 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter