Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.1% | 13.9% | -10.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders -30 (49-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mercer | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 34 | 11-16 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| G. Carr | 34 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| N. Hendra | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| S. Lumpkins | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Nichols | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| F. Borden | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Markusovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Luptak | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Grafft | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. McCormack | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Technow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Simon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Gyawu | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| B. Jonson | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| M. Venezia | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| W. Morse | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Woodhouse | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Vinson | 20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Hill | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Pascale | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Hoban | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Marfurt | 4 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Melville | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter