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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% -
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.9 (33.9 off)
Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% -

Actual: Colgate Raiders -30 (49-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 37 7-9 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 0 3 14 11 -
B. Gilmore 34 11-16 6-8 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 28 19 -
G. Carr 34 4-10 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 9 4 -
N. Hendra 25 2-3 2-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 6 12 -
S. Lumpkins 22 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 0 0 1 0 10 14 -
J. Nichols 16 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
F. Borden 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
F. Markusovic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Wilson 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Luptak 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Grafft 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. McCormack 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Technow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Simon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Gyawu 27 4-8 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 9 2 -
B. Jonson 26 2-8 0-1 2-4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -3 -
M. Venezia 25 2-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -
W. Morse 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
A. Woodhouse 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 2 2 6 9 -
T. Vinson 20 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
A. Hill 19 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
N. Pascale 17 1-4 0-0 3-4 3 2 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. Hoban 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
B. Marfurt 4 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
S. Melville 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter