Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jefferson | 34 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Bush | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Benson | 25 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Rybak | 23 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Johnson | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Gough | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| E. Bidias a Moute | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Bowman | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Moseley | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Jackson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. White | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Sloan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Taylor | 36 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| M. Pillow | 34 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Marks | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| M. Rueter | 29 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| D. Clayborn | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Brown | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| I. Qahwash | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Cannon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Brewer | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter