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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (10.6 off)

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Tilford 39 7-15 3-6 3-4 0 4 1 0 1 20 9 -
D. Coleman 36 4-11 0-0 8-10 15 1 0 1 4 16 18 -
C.J. Garner 28 2-4 0-0 5-7 5 1 0 0 3 9 8 -
R. Douglas 27 2-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
L. Watson 25 5-8 0-1 1-3 7 2 2 1 3 11 12 -
B. Sherrer 19 0-2 0-0 3-4 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
B. Davis 13 5-7 0-0 0-2 5 1 2 1 4 10 8 -
P. Tabet 13 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 0 3 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Boone 34 6-17 1-6 4-7 6 4 2 0 2 17 10 -
J. Brown 27 3-7 0-1 8-11 7 0 1 2 0 14 17 -
D. Bryant 23 4-12 1-3 2-3 1 6 1 0 3 11 4 -
Y. Chia-Kur 20 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
S. Morgan 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 2 4 10 -
I. Koggu 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
E. McKinney 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 2 7 -
J. Thomas 15 0-0 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
P.J. Keaton 12 2-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
M. Lance 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Ayers 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Handy 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter