Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.0% | 25.0% | -8.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 (67-74). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domonic Tilford * | 39 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| DeAndre Coleman * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Garner * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ronald Douglas * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Davis * | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| LaShun Watson | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Bryan Sherrer | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Philip Tabet | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Boone * | 34 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Yima Chia-Kur * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Morgan * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ifeanyi Koggu * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eric McKinney * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| JeJuan Brown | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Daniel Bryant | 23 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Thomas | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 12 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Michael Lance | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Ayers | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Larry Handy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter