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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 90.3% 9.7% -
Bradley-Terry 82.5% 17.5% -
Margin 87.3% 12.7% -10.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 68.9% 31.1% -
Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Log Adjusted 76.1% 23.9% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons -3 (54-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ruzgas 38 3-11 3-10 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 11 0 -
Z. Buljan 30 7-11 3-4 1-3 11 2 0 1 1 18 20 -
K. Mitchem 29 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
K. Langford 28 1-4 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 2 5 5 5 -
J. Ebie 27 4-6 2-4 2-2 1 3 2 0 0 12 12 -
R. Moss 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 4 3 -
K. Butler 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Ortiz 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Lancon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington 38 3-5 0-0 0-1 4 4 0 0 2 6 7 -
A. Johnson 38 5-9 1-1 8-9 6 0 1 0 3 19 14 -
A. Henke 37 5-10 2-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 12 8 -
M. Holland 36 3-6 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 1 2 9 6 -
G. Parker 27 1-6 1-3 1-4 5 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
S. Schafer 11 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
J. Atkins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Stewart 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. McLain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Noonan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. El-Amin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Merriex 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter