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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Drexel Dragons UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.1% 26.9% - โœ“
Margin 85.8% 14.2% -9.9 โœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 76.1% 23.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -24 (52-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drexel Dragons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harris 35 2-4 0-1 4-4 2 5 1 1 3 8 10 -
T. Hawthorne 31 6-13 4-9 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 16 9 -
S. Rodgers 27 3-9 0-3 3-3 3 2 1 1 5 9 2 -
G. Colds 27 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 4 6 0 -
S. Givens 25 3-3 0-0 0-0 12 4 0 1 1 6 19 -
K. Tribbett 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
L. Spencer 18 8-10 0-0 5-5 7 1 1 3 2 21 21 -
E. Neisler 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 1 4 9 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tomko 31 3-10 0-3 0-1 4 1 5 0 3 6 3 -
J. Wolf 31 7-11 2-4 1-1 0 1 1 0 0 17 8 -
K. Moore 30 1-8 0-2 6-9 5 2 3 0 2 8 8 -
J. Stephenson 29 2-10 0-0 6-8 3 0 1 0 0 10 4 -
D. Lacy 23 0-7 0-0 1-4 5 1 3 0 5 1 -2 -
D. Mercer 15 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Felder 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Jeralds 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Downey 12 2-3 1-1 3-3 5 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
M. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Sheets 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter