Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 35 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. Tinsley | 33 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Beal | 30 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Ogilvy | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. McClellan | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Goulbourne | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Ezeli | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Drake | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Tchiengang | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Hinkle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Graham | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Johnson | 37 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| B. Stewart | 36 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Bost | 35 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| P. Turner | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Varnado | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. Osby | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Bailey | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Benock | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Beckham | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter