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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.4% 42.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% -
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% -

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 35 1-3 0-1 4-6 2 5 0 1 1 6 10 -
V. Oliver 33 8-12 0-3 8-8 10 3 0 1 3 24 23 -
J. Harden 29 5-8 0-0 6-8 6 1 2 0 4 16 13 -
T. Lowenthal 28 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 6 5 -
D. Calegari 27 4-9 1-3 1-1 4 2 0 0 0 10 7 -
D. Carter 20 3-5 0-1 2-3 3 2 1 0 2 8 7 -
K. Brucculeri 17 2-6 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
R. Silva 6 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
A. Malik 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hunter 38 4-13 4-12 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 12 4 -
E. Wise 33 5-11 0-0 9-12 7 1 1 0 1 19 16 -
P. Rembert 32 6-13 2-5 3-4 2 7 2 0 1 17 14 -
B. Lauer 22 4-10 4-7 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 14 6 -
D. Strings 20 4-7 1-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
K. Bland 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 2 9 -
A. Folker 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Z. Atkinson 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 4 5 -
C. DeCasas 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
R. Staker 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -

* = starter